Spondyloarthritis & psoriatic arthritis

Reducing selection bias while maintaining precision through an integrated analysis: 2-year longitudinal analysis of imaging outcomes in the SPondyloArthritis Caught Early cohort

RMD OpenPublished Methodological analysis of a prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Multilevel models retain level variability by integrating information across patients, time points, readers and rounds to reduce selection bias and improve precision of change, which would otherwise be lost in simpler models.

Study context

Population
Patients with axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) from the SPondyloArthritis Caught Early cohort followed for 2 years; imaging of sacroiliac joints and spineSPACE cohort, axSpA
Participants
332 vs 279
Exposure
Integrated analysis vs completers-only analysis; aggregated scores vs scores per reader
  • Integrated analysisn = 332
  • Completers-onlyn = 279reference
Outcome
Precision of change estimates in imaging outcomes, integrated vs completers-only analysis
Follow-up
2 years
Methodological detailsgeneralised estimating equations, multilevel models, ≥2 central readers in two rounds
  • Generalised estimating equations
  • Multilevel models
  • ≥2 central readers in two rounds

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Patients included and precision of change estimates

Integrated analysis included more patients than multilevel completers-only analysis, with similar precision

12%-16% more patients

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Aggregated vs reader scores (completers-only), continuous outcomes

Change estimates similar

Aggregated vs reader scores (completers-only), dichotomous outcomes

Aggregated scores underestimated spinal changes
maximum 82% less
Aggregated scores overestimated sacroiliac joint changes
maximum 37% more

Original publication

Reducing selection bias while maintaining precision through an integrated analysis: 2-year longitudinal analysis of imaging outcomes in the SPondyloArthritis Caught Early cohort. RMD Open. Published 26 March 2026. doi:10.1136/rmdopen-2025-006634

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