Pediatric rheumatology

Probability of Response in the First Sixteen Weeks After Starting Biologics: An Analysis of Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis Biologics Trials

Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken)Published Secondary analysis of pooled data from 4 juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) bDMARD trials

Authors' conclusion

No response ACR Pedi 50 or more by month 1 after treatment was associated with a 0.60 probability of responding by month 4, but not responding by month 3 was associated with a 0.31 probability of response by month 4. Baseline disease duration, rheumatoid factor, and active joint counts predicted early treatment response (ACR and cJADAS10 states).

Study context

Population
Children with JIA starting biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) in the open-label run-in period (first 16 weeks) of 4 bDMARD trials70% on MTX, 41% prednisone
Participants
532 children
Primary endpoint
ACR Pedi 50 or greater (clinically significant response)
Follow-up
Month 4
Methodological detailsopen-label run-in period, inhomogeneous Markov multistate model
  • Open-label run-in period
  • Inhomogeneous Markov multistate model

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

Probability of ACR Pedi 50 or greater

Probability of American College of Rheumatology (ACR) Pedi 50 or greater by month 4

0.698

Probability by month 4 if ACR Pedi 50 or more not achieved by month 1

0.60

Probability by month 4 if ACR Pedi 50 or more not achieved by month 3

0.31

Secondary outcomes

Predictors of ACR and cJADAS state transitions

Age at diagnosis, disease duration, baseline RF and active joint counts predicted ACR and cJADAS state transitions, adjusted for concomitant treatment

Original publication

Probability of Response in the First Sixteen Weeks After Starting Biologics: An Analysis of Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis Biologics Trials. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken). Published 18 January 2023. doi:10.1002/acr.25003

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