Autoinflammatory & rare systemic diseases

Predictors of irreversible renal dysfunction in patients with idiopathic retroperitoneal fibrosis

Rheumatology (Oxford)Published Prognostic study

Authors' conclusion

A prognostic score based on factors including CD19+ B cells <9.3% and sCr ≥120 µmol/L at baseline, and no response at 6 months, is suitable for predicting irreversible renal dysfunction in iRPF.

Study context

Population
Patients with newly diagnosed idiopathic retroperitoneal fibrosis (iRPF), Zhongshan Hospital of Fudan University, January 2010–September 2022
Participants
83 patients
Comparison
Training set vs Validation set
  • Training setn = 60
  • Validation setn = 23
Outcome
Predictors of irreversible renal dysfunction
Methodological detailscohort with training and validation sets, single-centre, univariate and multivariate regression, logistic model, ROC analysis
  • Cohort with training and validation sets
  • Single-centre
  • Univariate and multivariate regression
  • Logistic model
  • ROC analysis

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of irreversible renal dysfunction by prognostic score ≥2 (1 point CD19+ B cells <9.3%, 1 point serum creatinine (sCr) ≥120 µmol/L, 2 points no response at 6 months)

Training set: sensitivity of score ≥2

100%

Training set: specificity of score ≥2

92%

Validation set: sensitivity

100%

Validation set: specificity

94.4%

Further findings

Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 ml/min/1.73 m² at last follow-up · median follow-up 29 months — Training set
16.7%
Hydronephrosis or prolonged double-J stents · median follow-up 29 months — Training set
25%
Irreversible renal dysfunction — Validation set
21.7%

Original publication

Predictors of irreversible renal dysfunction in patients with idiopathic retroperitoneal fibrosis. Rheumatology (Oxford). Published 26 October 2024. doi:10.1093/rheumatology/keae565

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