Systemic sclerosis & Raynaud's

Performance of serum biomarkers reflective of different pathogenic processes in systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease

Rheumatology (Oxford)Published Biomarker cohort study

Authors' conclusion

All candidates performed well as diagnostic biomarkers for SSc-ILD.

Study context

Population
SSc patients with baseline and follow-up serum samples
Participants
225 patients
Exposure
SSc patients with vs without interstitial lung disease (ILD); serum KL-6, SP-D, CCL18, YKL-40 and MMP-7
Outcome
Association of serum biomarkers (KL-6, SP-D, CCL18, YKL-40, MMP-7) with presence of SSc-ILD
Methodological detailsbaseline and follow-up serum samples, ELISA, linear mixed models, random forest models, Progressive ILD defined according to the 2022-ATS/ERS/JRS/ALAT guidelines
  • Baseline and follow-up serum samples
  • ELISA
  • Linear mixed models
  • Random forest models
  • Progressive ILD defined according to the 2022-ATS/ERS/JRS/ALAT guidelines

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Association of serum levels with presence of SSc-ILD (independent)
KL-6, MD
35.67 (22.44-48.89), P < 0.01 (95% CI)
SP-D, MD
81.13 (28.46-133.79), P < 0.01 (95% CI)
CCL18, MD
17.07 (6.36-27.77), P < 0.01 (95% CI)
YKL-40, MD
22.81 (7.19-38.44), P < 0.01 (95% CI)
MMP-7, MD
2.84 (0.88-4.80), P < 0.01 (95% CI)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Machine-learning model with all candidates classifying patients with or without ILD

Accuracy
85%

Combination of KL-6 and SP-D: presence and previous progression of SSc-ILD

Presence of SSc-ILD
0.77 (0.53-1.00, P' <0.01) (95% CI)
Previous progression, OR
1.28 (1.01-1.61, P' =0.047) (95% CI)

Higher baseline levels and odds of future SSc-ILD progression (independent of conventional risk factors)

KL-6, OR
3.70 (1.52-9.03), P < 0.01 (95% CI)
SP-D, OR
2.00 (1.06-3.78), P = 0.03 (95% CI)
KL-6 + SP-D combination
1.109 (0.665-1.554), P < 0.01 (95% CI)
  • Combination showed improved performance compared with KL-6 and SP-D alone

Original publication

Performance of serum biomarkers reflective of different pathogenic processes in systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease. Rheumatology (Oxford). Published 8 July 2023. doi:10.1093/rheumatology/kead332

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