Rheumatoid arthritis

Mortality estimates and excess mortality in rheumatoid arthritis

Rheumatology (Oxford)Published Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Mortality risk in this RA cohort accrues over time and is moderately increased at 20 years of follow-up.

Study context

Population
RA patients enrolled in the Australian Rheumatology Association Database (ARAD), diagnosed from 1995 onwards; 74% female, baseline median age 50 years (IQR 41–58)204 deaths
Participants
1,895 patients
Exposure
RA cohort vs age-, gender- and calendar year-matched Australian population
  • RAn = 1,895
Outcome
Long-term survival (SMR and relative survival)
Follow-up
20 years
Methodological detailsregistry (ARAD), data linkage to Australian National Death Index, comparison with age-, gender- and calendar year-matched population mortality rates, standardized mortality ratio (SMR) and relative survival models
  • Registry (ARAD)
  • Data linkage to Australian National Death Index
  • Comparison with age-, gender- and calendar year-matched population mortality rates
  • SMR and relative survival models

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Mortality vs age-, gender- and calendar year-matched Australian population

SMR at 20 years

1.49

95% CI 1.30, 1.71

Relative survival at 20 years

94%

95% CI 91, 97

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Restricted mean survival time (RMST) at 20 years (life lost)

Observed RMST
18.41 years
Expected RMST
18.68 years
Difference between observed and expected RMST
4 months

Cause-specific mortality (CS-SMR)

Pneumonia CS-SMR
5.2 (95% CI 2.3, 10.3)
ILD CS-SMR
7.6 (95% CI 3.0, 14.7)
Coronary heart disease CS-SMR
0.82 (95% CI 0.42, 1.4)
Neoplasms CS-SMR
1.2 (95% CI 0.89, 1.5)
  • Respiratory conditions an important underlying cause of death in RA

Original publication

Mortality estimates and excess mortality in rheumatoid arthritis. Rheumatology (Oxford). Published 15 March 2023. doi:10.1093/rheumatology/kead106

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