Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Genetic and epigenetic determinants of relapse risk in lupus nephritis

Lupus Sci MedPublished Cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Genetic and epigenetic susceptibility appears to influence LN relapse risk in a treatment-dependent manner.

Study context

Population
Caucasian patients with biopsy-verified lupus nephritis (LN) between 1974 and 2022
Participants
149 patients
Exposure
Polygenic Risk Score and Methylation Risk Score vs time to LN relapse, by initial therapy (CYC vs non-CYC)
Outcome
Time to LN relapse
Methodological detailsCox proportional hazards models adjusted for centre, sex and year of first LN, genotyping and DNA methylation profiling
  • Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for centre, sex and year of first LN
  • Genotyping and DNA methylation profiling

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Time to LN relapse, overall cohort
Hazard ratio (CI)P value
PRS
1.00(0.77–1.30)
P = 0.99
MRS
1.01(1.00–1.02)
P = 0.21

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Time to LN relapse, CYC-treated (subgroup)

HR (CI)P value
PRS0.81 (0.55–1.20)P = 0.29
MRS1.00 (0.99–1.02)P = 0.89

Time to LN relapse, non-CYC-treated (subgroup)

HR (CI)P value
PRSNon-significant trend towards shorter time to relapse1.26 (0.88–1.81)P = 0.21
MRS1.02 (1.00–1.03)P = 0.066

Time to LN relapse, non-CYC-treated, combined Polygenic Risk Score (PRS) + Methylation Risk Score (MRS) model (subgroup)

HR (CI)P value
PRS1.56 (0.97–2.50)P = 0.066
MRS1.02 (1.00–1.04)P = 0.037
Time to LN relapse, non-CYC-treated, combined PRS + MRS model (subgroup) — Adding MRS to PRS model improved performance (likelihood ratio test)
p=0.028

Original publication

Genetic and epigenetic determinants of relapse risk in lupus nephritis. Lupus Sci Med. Published 1 September 2026. doi:10.1136/lupus-2026-002043

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