Osteoarthritis

Factors associated with radiographic progression of hand osteoarthritis over 2 years

RMD OpenPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Over 2 years, a considerable proportion of patients demonstrated radiographic progression. Progressors were especially those with erosive disease, more radiographic damage (most pronounced in younger females) and bone marrow lesions at baseline.

Study context

Population
Patients with hand OA from a rheumatology outpatient clinic (Hand OSTeoArthritis in Secondary (HOSTAS) cohort; mean age 61 years, 86% female)
Participants
417 patients
Outcome
Radiographic progression (osteophytes and JSN, OARSI) classified by smallest detectable change
Follow-up
2 years
Methodological detailsHOSTAS cohort, rheumatology outpatient clinic, blinded, paired, chronological radiograph scoring (OARSI), logistic regression
  • HOSTAS cohort
  • Rheumatology outpatient clinic
  • Blinded, paired, chronological radiograph scoring (OARSI)
  • Logistic regression

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Radiographic progression

Osteophyte progression

272

65%

Osteophyte sum score change, median (IQR)

1

0–2

Joint space narrowing (JSN) progression

135

32%

JSN sum score change, median (IQR)

1

0–2

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Factors associated with progression

Both osteophyte and JSN progressors had more radiographic damage at baseline
Baseline erosive disease or bone marrow lesions associated with osteophyte progression in IP joints
Female sex associated with osteophyte progression in thumb-base joints
Association of baseline osteophytes with change in osteophytes strongest in younger females

Original publication

Factors associated with radiographic progression of hand osteoarthritis over 2 years. RMD Open. Published 24 April 2026. doi:10.1136/rmdopen-2025-006684

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