Systemic sclerosis & Raynaud's

Does regression of skin thickening predict improvement of internal organ involvement and survival in patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis? A European Scleroderma Trials and Research (EUSTAR) analysis

Arthritis Res TherPublished Cohort study

Authors' conclusion

We found that regression of skin fibrosis is associated with a lower probability of lung progression and better survival at follow up.

Study context

Population
EUSTAR patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc), baseline modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS) ≥7 and valid mRSS at 12±3 months follow up
Participants
1,257 patients
Exposure
Regressive vs stable vs progressive skin fibrosis
  • Regressiven = 282
  • Stablen = 883
  • Progressiven = 92reference
Outcome
Progression of lung, renal, cardiac and gastrointestinal manifestations (consensus definitions) and all-cause death
Methodological detailsEUSTAR cohort analysis, multicentre registry, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, Cox regression, adjusted for baseline mRSS, baseline immunosuppression, baseline FVC and disease duration
  • EUSTAR cohort analysis
  • Multicentre registry
  • Kaplan-Meier survival analysis
  • Cox regression
  • Adjusted for baseline mRSS, baseline immunosuppression, baseline FVC and disease duration

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

FVC decline ≥10%
  • Regressive vs Progressive: P = 0.00003

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeP value
All-cause mortality during follow upRegressive vs Progressive · lower probability; adjustedP = 0.035

Progression of other organ manifestations

Improvement of skin fibrosis not associated with progression of other organ manifestations

Original publication

Does regression of skin thickening predict improvement of internal organ involvement and survival in patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis? A EUSTAR analysis. Arthritis Res Ther. Published 31 October 2024. doi:10.1186/s13075-024-03418-2

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