Development of a confidence-based Natural Language Processing tool to identify inflammatory arthritis from non-inflammatory conditions in Rheumatology medical notes

Arthritis Res TherPublished Retrospective cross-sectional study

Authors' conclusion

The model showed high confidence and accuracy, with low risk of missing patients with inflammatory disease.

Study context

Population
Anonymized electronic health records (EHRs) from a single Italian rheumatology center
Participants
1,372 anonymized EHRs
Exposure
Natural Language Processing (NLP)-based classifier discriminating rheumatoid (RA) and psoriatic arthritis (PsA) vs non-inflammatory rheumatic diseases (OA and FM) from rheumatology notes
  • RAn = 468
  • PsAn = 732
  • Non-inflammatory rheumatic diseases (NIRD)n = 172
Outcome
Classification of RA, PsA and NIRD from rheumatology notes
Methodological detailssingle-centre, NLP-based classifier, confidence-based decision system, explainability assessed with LIME and SHAP
  • Single-centre
  • NLP-based classifier
  • Confidence-based decision system
  • Explainability assessed with LIME and SHAP

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Overall accuracy in distinguishing the three diagnostic groups

85%

Cases classified with high certainty

74.5%

Accuracy in high-certainty cases

94.6%

Cases considered uncertain

1.5%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Interpretability (LIME and SHAP)

Partially meaningful insights, but results inconsistent, especially with complex or negated language

Original publication

Development of a confidence-based Natural Language Processing tool to identify inflammatory arthritis from non-inflammatory conditions in Rheumatology medical notes. Arthritis Res Ther. Published 10 January 2026. doi:10.1186/s13075-025-03713-6

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