Fibromyalgia & musculoskeletal pain

Assessing the impact of health-care access on the severity of low back pain by country: a case study within the GBD framework

Lancet RheumatolPublished Modelling study

Authors' conclusion

This methodology fills an important shortcoming in the GBD by accounting for low back pain severity variations over time and between countries.

Study context

Population
Low back pain burden by country and over time, GBD framework; treatment effects for ten interventions from the Cochrane Database, coverage data from US Medical Expenditure Panel Surveys (MEPS)trials from 36 Cochrane reviews
Participants
210 trials
Comparison
Access to low back pain treatment (graded by Health Access and Quality Index) vs hypothetical severity in the absence of treatment
Outcome
Effect of exposure to health interventions on the severity of low back pain (averted and avoidable burden)
Methodological detailsnetwork analysis, GBD framework, Cochrane systematic reviews
  • Network analysis
  • GBD framework
  • Cochrane systematic reviews

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Low back pain burden · 2020

Burden averted globally by access to treatment, 2020

17.6% (14.8 to 23.8) (95% UI)

Extra burden avoidable if all countries had access at Iceland's level (highest HAQ Index)

9.1%

6.4 to 11.2

Burden unavoidable even with full coverage of optimal treatment

65.9%

56.9 to 70.4

Further findings

Pooled effect sizes (SMD) of most effective intervention classes

SMD (95% UI)
Combination of psychological and physical interventionsUncertainty interval−0.460 (−0.606 to −0.309)
SurgeryUncertainty interval−0.366 (−0.525 to −0.207)

Original publication

Assessing the impact of health-care access on the severity of low back pain by country: a case study within the GBD framework. Lancet Rheumatol. Published 16 July 2024. doi:10.1016/s2665-9913(24)00151-6

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