Osteoporosis & bone health

Age at First Fracture and Later Fracture Risk in Older Adults Undergoing Osteoporosis Assessment

JAMA Netw OpenPublished Population-based cohort study

Authors' conclusion

In this cohort study, fractures in adulthood were associated with future fractures regardless of the age at which they occurred.

Study context

Population
Individuals in the Manitoba bone mineral density (BMD) Registry with a first BMD measurement between January 1, 1996, and March 31, 2018 (mean [SD] age 64.6 [11.0] years; 90.3% female)80,066 [90.3%] female
Participants
88,696 individuals
Exposure
Prior fracture in adulthood, stratified by age at first fracture (10-year intervals from 20-29 to ≥80 years), vs no prior fracture
  • Prior fracturen = 21,105
Outcome
Incident fractures after DXA (index date), identified using linked provincial administrative health data
Follow-up
Before March 31, 2021
Methodological detailsobservational, registry-based, sex- and age-adjusted and fully adjusted HRs, Data analysis completed between April 1, and May 31, 2023
  • Observational
  • Registry-based
  • Sex- and age-adjusted and fully adjusted HRs
  • Data analysis completed between April 1, and May 31, 2023

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

All incident fractures, osteoporotic fractures and MOFs by age at first prior fracture (20-29 to ≥80 years) · mean (SD) 9.0 (5.5) years of follow-up

Sex- and age-adjusted HRs, all significantly elevated across age at first fracture; range of point estimates

1.55 (95% CI, 1.28-1.88) to 4.07 (95% CI, 2.99-5.52)

Fully adjusted HRs, similar and still significantly elevated across age categories; range of point estimates

1.51 (95% CI, 1.42-1.60) to 2.12 (95% CI, 1.67-2.71)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Incident fractures in the whole cohort · mean (SD) 9.0 (5.5) years of follow-up

Any incident fracture
13 239 (14.6%)
Osteoporotic fractures
12 425 (14.0%)
Major osteoporotic fractures (MOFs)
9440 (10.6%)
Hip fractures
3068 (3.5%)

Sensitivity analyses: age at last prior fracture; multiple prior fractures

Similar results

Original publication

Age at First Fracture and Later Fracture Risk in Older Adults Undergoing Osteoporosis Assessment. JAMA Netw Open. Published 2 December 2024. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.48208

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