Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

A retrospective study of long-term outcomes related with initial factors in childhood onset systemic lupus erythematosus

LupusPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Initial SLEDAI-2K and bio-markers for immune response were related to survival and events during follow-up.

Study context

Population
Patients diagnosed with childhood onset SLE (cSLE) at <18 years, January 2009 to December 2021; excluding prior diagnoses, transfers, infection- or post-transplantation-related findings and underlying diseasesfemale to male ratio 7.4:1
Participants
109 patients
Outcome
Factors at diagnosis associated with long-term outcomes: survival and events (flare, complications, new organ involvement)
Methodological detailsreview of electronic medical records, univariate and multivariate analysis
  • Review of electronic medical records
  • Univariate and multivariate analysis

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Survival and events
Overall survival rate (median: 5.0 years)
92.9 %
Survival: elevated C-reactive protein (CRP), multivariate HR 2.396 (95% CI 1.165 ∼4.926)
p = .017
Event free survival
10.4%
Event: SLEDAI-2K, multivariate HR 2.82 (95% CI 1.078∼7.375)
p = .035
Event: anti-Smith antibody, multivariate HR 3.262 (95% CI 1.218∼8.741)
p = .019

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Univariate associations

Survival associated with CRP, SLEDAI-2K and false positivity for syphilis
P < 0.05
Event free survival related to SLEDAI-2K, anti-Smith antibody and false positivity for syphilis
P < 0.05
  • Univariate analysis

Baseline characteristics

Mean age, years (± 2.3)
14.4
Diagnosed pre-pubertal, n = 28
25.7%

Causes of death

Intractable macrophage activation syndrome, n
2
Disease related state, n
2
Infection, n
2

Original publication

A retrospective study of long-term outcomes related with initial factors in childhood onset systemic lupus erythematosus. Lupus. Published 30 May 2025. doi:10.1177/09612033251344988

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