Autoinflammatory & rare systemic diseases

nCD64 index as a new early predictive biomarker for macrophage activation syndrome in adult-onset still’s disease

Arthritis Res TherPublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

These findings suggest the nCD64 index is a promising biomarker for early identifying AOSD patients at risk of MAS, aiding in timely diagnosis and management.

Study context

Population
Patients with adult-onset Still's disease (AOSD), with and without macrophage activation syndrome (MAS), and healthy controls
Comparison
AOSD with MAS vs AOSD without MAS; AOSD vs healthy controls
Outcome
Ability of nCD64 index to predict MAS in AOSD
Methodological detailslogistic regression, ROC curve analysis, Kaplan-Meier analysis
  • Logistic regression
  • ROC curve analysis
  • Kaplan-Meier analysis

Performance

As reported in the abstract

nCD64 index for distinguishing AOSD patients with MAS
AUC (ROC)
0.877
Cutoff
32.09
P for ROC
p < 0.001
Elevated nCD64 index as risk factor for MAS, OR (logistic regression)
1.073
P for OR
p = 0.003
Higher cumulative incidence of MAS with nCD64 index > 32.09 (Kaplan-Meier)
p < 0.001

Further findings

Neutrophil CD64 mRNA expression, AOSD vs healthy controls

Significantly elevated in AOSD
P = 0.029

nCD64 index after effective treatment

Rapid and significant decrease
P < 0.001

Correlation of nCD64 index with hospitalization length

R
0.382
P
P < 0.001

Correlation of nCD64 index with maximum GC dose

R
0.326
P
P = 0.003

Clinical manifestations

nCD64 index positively correlated with splenomegaly, sore throat, pulmonary infiltrates and pericarditis

Combined nCD64 index, ferritin and sIL-2R

Strong predictive value for MAS

Original publication

nCD64 index as a new early predictive biomarker for macrophage activation syndrome in adult-onset still’s disease. Arthritis Res Ther. Published 10 July 2025. doi:10.1186/s13075-025-03611-x

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